Archive for the “Stats” Category


Will Jose Contreras reach 20 Losses in 2007?Back before the five man rotation found its place in Major League Baseball, it was not uncommon to a pitchers have 20 losses in a season. Heck, the seventies had fourteen 20-loss seasons. Five of them were thrown in 1974 alone.

But now, with 20% less starts and the advent of pitch counts - it’s a real stretch for even a really bad pitcher to get 20 losses (partly because he’d be optioned or demoted before he got the chance). Since 1980, it’s only been done once - in 2003 by Mike Maroth (9-21).

It seems that every season, someone gets close to the 20 loss mark, as 25 pitchers have finished with 18 or 19 losses since 1982.

This season, that pitcher appears to be Jose Contreras of the Chicago White Sox.

(more…)

Comments No Comments »

The 2007 San Francisco Giants Team PhotoThis week, I’ve been watching the Giants a lot. 

One of the things I noticed was that the San Francisco Giants usually trot out a very -  uh - mature lineup.  The Giants start a lineup which typically averages 36 years of age.

In the Giants regular starting lineup, there’s not a single player under the age of 32.  Five of them are aged 35 or older.  And their utility infielder (Aurilia) is 35 as well.  

Their position players have nearly 100 years of MLB experience under their collective belts almost every time they take the field. 

Pos Player Age Exp Pos Player Age Exp
LF Barry Bonds 43 21 C Bengie Molina 33 9
SS Omar Vizquel 40 18 RF Randy Winn 33 9
1B Ryan Klesko 36 15 3B Pedro Feliz 32 7
2B Ray Durham 35 12   Average 36 13
CF Dave Roberts 35 8 IF Rich Aurilia 35 12

Sometimes, there’s something to be said for experience … when you’re winning. 

Both the Yankees and Tigers field older starting lineups and they’re both competitive in their respective Divisions and the American League.   The Giants, on the other hand, are a percentage point away from having the worst record in the National League. 

Why?

(more…)

Comments 3 Comments »

Way back in March, when I was doing Home Run Derby slugger profiles, I wondered if Raul Ibanez’ 33 Home Runs in 2006 was a breakout or a fluke. Only one person took Ibanez in HRD’s Group C.

Raul Ibanez is on FIRE

Through early August, it was undeniably a fluke. Through August 3 (95 Games) Ibanez had less-than mediocre stats (.254 Avg, .391 Slg, .698 OPS, 6 HR, 61.0 AB/HR)  and he was also suffering through shoulder and back pain through most of the first half.

Plus, he was just coming off a disastrous sub-Mendoza July (.184 Avg, .262 Slg, .503 OPS with no Home Runs) which had media, fans, and management looking for a change. He couldn’t hit the broad side of a barn if he was standing inside the barn.

(more…)

Comments 1 Comment »

Tony LaRussa’s caught a lot of flak this season. 

First there was that whole drinky-drinky-drivey-sleepy thing back in Spring Training.  That didn’t go over too well.

Then the regular season began and the Cardinals got off to a horrid start.  They got swept by the Mets in St Louis to open the season and were below the Reds in the NL Central standings for a little while.  And it doesn’t look like they’ll be making a run at the playoffs anytime soon.

Pujols and LaRussaAnd most recently, LaRussa (mis) managed the National League and left Cardinals star sluggger and clutch RBI machine Albert Pujols on the bench with two outs and the bases loaded in the bottom of the ninth during last week’s All-Star game in San Francisco.

Pujols was less than happy about not playing in the midsummer classic.  Was there a method to LaRussa’s madness?   Maybe.

Albert Pujols is having a fine second halfHeading into the All-Star Game, Pujols was in a bit of a power drought.  In 22 games before the break, Pujols was hitting .329 but only had 4 doubles and no Home Runs in 73 At-Bats. 

After the All-Star break, a pissed-off Pujols broke out the lumber and smacked the Phillies around to the tune of a .429 average with four Home Runs in 14 At-Bats in the three game series.

Comments 2 Comments »

No HomersThe Cubs have played nine Games and tallied 303 At-Bats in the month of July with a collective .270 batting average, a .330 slugging percentage, and absolutely zero Home Runs.

What a bunch of Stonecutters.  Stonecutters = “No Homers” for the Simpsons-illiterate.  And they’ve been useless if you’ve got them in our little Home Run Derby contest. 

However, the Cubs are 6-3 during their Homer-less July.  Mind you, five of those wins came against Pittsburgh, Washington and Houston.  Not exactly world-beaters.

The Cubs have played most of their July games against clubs with a propensity to give up the Home Run …

(more…)

Comments 3 Comments »

Nick Swisher and the long hairWay back in Spring Training, Oakland A’s First Baseman-Outfielder-Heartthrob Nick Swisher showed up at camp with his hair grown out to a hippie-esque eleven inches in length. 

It seemed to work for him.  He was hitting the ball well with a .290 batting average (41 points above his career average) and a .500 slugging percentage with 6 Home Runs. 

Internet reports had him dating former Playboy model and Oakland Raiderette Danielle Gamba

And on May 11, Swisher signed a five year contract extension with the A’s for $26.75 Million.

Life was good.

Swisher gets TrimmedThen, before a game on May 19th, Swisher had his lengthy locks clipped (by his father) so he could donate them to charity (Pantene’s Beutiful Lengths) to honor his grandmother, who had died of cancer.

At the time of the celebrated haircut, HRD wondered if there would be a Samson-like effect on Swisher’s stats.

(more…)

Comments No Comments »

Sammy Sosa needs one more

Sammy Sosa is about to become only the fifth player in Major League Baseball history to swat 600 Home Runs.

Home Run Derby thinks that’s a big deal.

In some form of baseball irony, Sosa could hit #600 against the Chicago Cubs, for whom he hit 545 of his 599 Home Runs. It would be his first career Home Run against the Cubs.

In preparation for this event, here’s a look back at Sosa’s career by way of his baseball cards whenever his Home Run odometer clicked over a new digit.

We’ll even throw in the pitchers who provided the opportunity.

Sammy Sosa 1989 RCRoger Clemens 1989Home Run #1 - June 21, 1989

Why not start off against a legend in the making? Sosa’s very first Home Run was hit off Roger Clemens.

The rookie Ranger hit a solo shot in the 4th inning of a 10-4 win over the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park.

Sammy Sosa 1995Trevor Hoffman 1995Home Run #100 - May 14, 1995

Sosa turned the Century mark against another legendary pitcher, Trevor Hoffman, the future all-time saves leader.

Sosa hit a Home Run in the ninth inning during a 7-9 loss to the San Diego Padres at Wrigley Field.

(more…)

Comments 4 Comments »

Soriano owns your weak ass, CormierAtlanta Braves starting pitcher Lance Cormier got his ass absolutely torched by the Cubs’ Alfonso Soriano tonight.

And I don’t mean your average 3 for 3 night against a pitcher.

I mean that Alfonso Soriano made Lance Cormier his bitch and made him like it.

Going into tonight’s game, Soriano was already trouble for Cormier and the Braves. Soriano has been heating up as of late (batting .469 with 3 HR in June before tonight’s game) and the Cubs are heating up right along with him.

And tonight, Soriano hit three Home Runs off Cormier. Never a doubt for any of them either.

That makes Soriano 5 for 5 against Cormier this week with (get this) four (4) Home Runs and a Triple. That’s merely a slugging percentage of 4.400 !

.

Lance Cormier is probably hugging his teddy bear and asking mommy Cormier to make the bad Dominican go away …

Soriano vs Cormier AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB K AVG OBP SLG OPS
Before 6/8/07 12 7 1 1 1 1 0 0 0.583 0.583 1.083 1.667
After 6/8/07 15 10 1 1 4 4 0 0 0.667 0.667 1.867 2.534

Alfonso Soriano rounds the bases again

Comments 5 Comments »

Back in early May, Barry Bonds was going nuts. He was hitting the cover off the ball and had moved to within 11 Home Runs of the Career HR record held by Hank Aaron.

Barry Bonds

Barry Bonds and a Giant numberDuring April and early May, you couldn’t escape pictures of Bonds rounding the bases at AT&T Park underneath a giant 3-digit number beginning with 7. It looked like Bonds was going send ESPN into “All Barry All the Time” mode in June, when he was projected to break the record.

But since then something’s happened … or more truthfully … hasn’t happened. Barry Bonds has stopped hitting Home Runs. ESPN doesn’t even cut away during other baseball games to show his at-bats anymore. Bud Selig has surely been doing the “happy dance” in his office since he’s not worrying about players with big heads as much as players with big mouths (Sheff and Giambi).

How big of a slump is Bonds in right now? Let’s compare …

Dates G AB AVG SLG OBP H BB IBB HR RBI R AB/HR PA/BB
4/2-5/8 29 77 .338 .805 .527 26 31 11 11 23 24 7.0 3.55
5/9-6/6 23 60 .183 .283 .430 11 27 9 1 3 8 60.0 3.22

Wow. Not only does Bonds have no power lately, he’s been hitting the ball at Mario Mendoza levels. He’s also being walked slightly more often, but that’s probably due to teams adjusting to his Apr/May stats.

Let’s split up that slump and see if there’s any trends within it.

Dates G AB AVG SLG OBP H BB IBB HR RBI R AB/HR PA/BB
5/9-5/22 12 33 .152 .182 .451 5 18 7 0 0 4   2.83
5/25-6/6 11 27 .222 .407 .417 6 9 2 1 3 4 27.0 4.00

Bonds’ hitting stats have improved recently, but not by a lot. And even though he was being walked a LOT during the first half of the slump, his walks are down significantly in the second half of the slump. Teams backed off him in the first part of the slump - are teams challenging him more since he’s been in the slump? Looks like it.

The Giants have been on the road most of for most of Bonds’ slump and are about to finish a ten-day ten-game road trip. Has it affected Old Man Bonds?

  Games AB AVG SLG OBP Hits K BB IBB HR RBI AB/HR PA/BB
Home 6 16 .125 .312 .440 2 1 9 3 1 2 16.0 2.78
Away 17 44 .205 .273 .435 9 9 18 6 0 1   3.44

Bonds’ one Home Run came in San Fran (skewing his home power stats) - but he’s actually hit better while on the road (other than the strikeouts). He’s been walked more often on the road, which one might expect - as other teams fans’ (and possibly MLB) might not want to see Bonds break the HR record in their park.

Also - it’s been published that Bonds has been plagued by some shin splints and fatigue lately. Bonds started 20 of the 23 games he played in during the slump. He didn’t miss many games during the early season … perhaps his 42 year old body needs a break.

By the way, Baseball Prospectus now projects Bonds to break the record in Mid-July, either at home against the Dodgers or against the Cubs at Wrigley.


Comments No Comments »